Bowl Picks and Win Projections- Week 4

A wild week to close out out-of-conference play generated some separation in these projections (generated using G.A.W.P., learn more here), particularly in the North division. Overall, there were enough out-of-conference wins on the schedule that the conference is still looking pretty strong as a whole.

Week 3 GAWP

Win Projections-

In the South, Utah’s dominant win over lowly SJSU has officially entered them into the spoiler conversation, with a profile that mirrors that of our other South spoiler contenders- UCLA, Colorado, and Arizona. It’s fairly unlikely that advanced metrics have an accurate measure of all four of these teams- at least one of them will probably prove to be better than expected. No doubt fans of each of those four teams suspect it’s their squad who will take the next step.

Cal hasn’t impressed statistically, but they continue to win games anyway. Oregon has breezed past Stanford and WSU and now looks like the second best team in the North, behind Washington, who is clearly the class of the conference. Meanwhile, Oregon State has run out of games they can win, and it looks like a totally doomed season for the Beavers.

Bowl Picks-

There are nine teams with more than a 50% chance of being bowl eligible. Cal is knocking on the door- a 48% chance to make a bowl game leaves them just outside these rankings, but there’s no doubt this is a dangerous team with a good shot of finding themselves playing football in December.

Week 3 Bowl Picks

An easy non-conference slate overall has given the conference a lot of wins to build on as they work towards bowl contention.

The big story this week is Stanford’s collapse against San Diego State, which has knocked them out of fringe playoff contention and drastically reduced their win total.


Washington Huskies at Colorado Buffaloes
Saturday, September 23 at 7:00 Pacific/8:00 Mountain
Fox Sports 1

Washington is a really good team, the best in the conference so far. Colorado has been a Jekyll and Hyde type to this point in the season, looking like the top-tier opponent they were last year at times… and at others looking like the Colorado of old. If they can put together four quarters of their best football, this could be a very interesting game indeed.

Also Watch Stanford at UCLA, Utah at Arizona

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